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| Scenario | Calculation Method | Impact (# 2027) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5°C Scenario |
Risk | Increase in operating costs due to introduction of carbon pricing such as carbon taxes, and compliance with regulations and decarbonization investments | Calculation of the increase in operating costs in 2030 due to the introduction of carbon pricing from estimated emissions and carbon price ※Assumed the cases in which emissions reduction does not progress compared to the base year (FY2018) results ※Carbon price (2030)：140＄/t-CO2 Referred to IEA WEO2022 NZE |
5.9 billion yen / year |
| Increase in operating costs due to in-house renewable energy procurement | Calculated the amount of operating costs increase for procurement of renewable energy power in 2030, based on the sales plan for 2027, if all electricity used is switched to renewable energy power ※Estimated renewable energy power procurement unit price refer to the non-fossil certificate price, etc. |
0.46 billion yen / year | ||
| Decrease in sales of agricultural chemicals business due to the introduction of regulations on the use of agricultural chemicals | Calculated the amount of sales decrease in 2030 due to regulations of Agrochemicals such as the Farm to Fork and Green Food System strategies | 5.1 billion yen / year | ||
| Decrease in sales due to inability to provide low-carbon products | Calculation of the sales decrease in 2030 where decarbonization in the company’s chemical manufacturing process does not progress, and sales volume of existing products with high product life cycle emissions (product carbon footprint) decreases ※Sales of existing products are actual figures for 2021 ※Forecasted decrease in sales volume of existing products is estimated by referring to IEA Net Zero by 2050, etc. |
4.2 billion yen / year | ||
| Opportunity | Avoid the impact of carbon pricing by reducing GHG emissions | Calculated the amount of avoidable increase in operating costs in 2030 due to introduction of carbon pricing, if the FY2027 target (reducing by at least 30% from FY2018 level) is achieved ※Carbon price (2030)：140＄/t-CO2 Referred to IEA WEO2022 NZE |
1.8 billion yen / year | |
| Increase in demand and sales of parts and materials for low-carbon products | For low-carbon products that demand is expected to increase, calculation of sales increase from FY2021 based on formulated sales plan for FY2027. | # 1.2 billion yen / year | ||
| 4°C Scenario |
Risk | Increase in risk of impacts on plant operations, equipment, inventory, and supply chains due to flooding caused by heavy rains, floods, and rising sea levels | Calculation of decreased sales and damage to equipment and inventory during the period when production sites, which have a particularly large impact, have ceased operations as the financial impact in the event that a site is flooded, based on 2030 and 2050 assumptions. ※Aqueduct floods used to analyze flood depth ※Damage rate due to flooding is set with reference to Manual for Economic Evaluation of Flood Control Investment (Draft), etc. published by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism. ※The amount of financial impact is calculated as the maximum risk where floods occur at a site with a large impact and no countermeasures taken, based on FY2021 site sales, equipment and inventory levels, etc. |
FY2030： 7.6 billion yen / year FY2050： 12.8 billion yen / year |
